Technical Session: Resource Assessment: Forecasting & Remote Sensing
Moderator: Skip Dise
Intra-hour solar forecasting and cloud height detection advances
Cloud base heights play a critical role in shortest term solar forecasting at utility scale solar power plants. Cloud height measurements have traditionally been expensive and sparse, but several sensors and sensor systems have been developed to facilitate cloud height detection using a sky imager and other existing instrumentation at solar power plants.
Forecasting Solar Power and Irradiance – Lessons from Real-World Experiences
Solar power forecasting improvements will come from availability of better quality site data which includes accurate reporting of power, inverter status, true panel tracking data, and both GHI and plane of array irradiance measured by well-maintained equipment, and from improving boundary layer and aerosol-aware microphysical parameterizations in weather models.
The Analog Ensemble Method for Solar Power Forecasting
This study demonstrates the analog-ensemble method for solar power forecasting. Overall, this method significantly improves the quality of solar forecasts over traditional NWP forecasts. Additionally, critical information such as forecast uncertainty and intra-hour variability can be accurately predicted using this method.
An Assessment of New Satellite Data Products for the Development of a Long-term Global Solar Resource at 10 km Resolution
Improved cross calibrated satellite radiance, cloud data products and inputs are providing a renewed opportunity to develop solar resource resource that could extend 30 years.
The Five Factors of Bankable Solar Resource Data
Evaluation of Reanalysis Meteorological Dataset for Use in the National Solar Radiation Dataset (NSRDB)